Product Design Portfolio '25

Product Design Portfolio '25

Modern Growth for Medieval Combat: Building a Sports Club Like a Startup

Growth isn't just about getting more people through the door – it's about finding the right people and giving them the best possible start. Over three years, my business partner and I ran a number of experiments to discover which onboarding approaches actually converted curiosity into long-term commitment.

Timeframe
Timeframe

2021–2023

Team
Team
Team

My (business) partner & I

What I did
What I did
What I did
  • Hypothesis development and experiment design

  • Course curriculum design and planning

  • Website and payment flow optimisation

  • Data collection and outcome analysis

  • Cohort tracking and retention measurement

  • Project coordination and execution

Outcomes
Outcomes
Outcomes
  • Three systematic experiments (one successful, one inconclusive, and one failed) that doubled our club membership in the first year and revealed an actionable strategy for future growth.

  • Some valuable lessons and takeaways about balancing growth appetites with operational sustainability, lead quality versus quantity, and more.

What the hell is Armoured Combat?

If you're picturing people in full medieval armour trading blows in an MMA-style match, you're getting close to understanding what full-contact armoured combat is. Originating in Eastern Europe, this unique sport came to the UK only about 10 years ago and is slowly gaining popularity since.

In 2017 my partner established a new club in Gloucester, which I joined as co-founder in 2019. We ran every aspect of this micro-business until 2023; in these four years we tried on every hat imaginable: player-coaches, marketers, accountants – you name it.

Learning new skills wasn't our biggest challenge though – it was figuring out how to grow sustainably in such a niche market. This is where my growth experimenter skills came in handy.

Experiment #1: On-ramp program for beginners

The Problem:

The idea of being thrown at the deep end during your first martial arts class can be pretty off-putting. How can we help new starters feel more comfortable during their first training and get them to return after?

Experiment card #1

Designed by:

Ira

Big Idea
Big Idea
Big Idea

HMB Foundations – a specialised on-ramp beginners’ course.

Desired Business Outcome
Desired Business Outcome
Desired Business Outcome

It’s desirable (the course sells out).

Assumption
Assumption
Assumption

Those curious about buhurt will be more eager to give it a go in a safe, beginner-friendly environment.

Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis

If we group beginners together and give them a structured introduction to the sport then they will have a better learning experience and will be more likely to come back after their first training.

Test setup
Test setup
Test setup

A 5-week, 10 classes-long program focusing on duelling skills.

Target metrics
Target metrics
Target metrics
  • 80% of the course filled,

  • 80% of participants complete the course,

  • 50% retention rate per cohort.

Pre-test decisions
Pre-test decisions
Pre-test decisions

If it passes, we start running the courses regularly;

If it’s inconclusive, we run another cohort to get a new dataset by the end of the year;

If it fails, we roll back to individual onboarding and explore alternative ways to increase the number of returning visitors.

Timeframe:

Jan-Dec 2021

Execution:

To bring this experiment to life, we divided the work: while my partner developed the course curriculum, I focused on building everything we needed to find and convert potential newcomers. This included:

  • Creating a landing page for the new course,

  • Designing the signup form to capture leads

  • Setting up basic analytics to track conversion from page visit to signup.

When that was done and the first signups started to flow in, all that was left to do was run the course. No pressure!

When that was done and the first signups started to flow in, all that was left to do was run the course. No pressure!

Actual outcomes: Success

100%

places sold

The waiting list was filling up pretty fast, too!

👍

All

participants completed the course

👍

80%

attended 2+ regular sessions after the course (retained)

👍

Next steps:

Since our first-ever beginners course was an overall success, we agreed to carry on with the practice but adjust the program slightly to include group disciplines, too, and run another cohort by the end of the year.

2018

early 2022

early 2022

Experiment #2: Shortening the course duration

The Problem:

Last year’s HMB Foundations was a great success, with the average retention rate of 55%. The interest in joining our sports club is now picking up, too. How might we bring even more people on board without burning ourselves out?

Experiment card #2

Designed by:

Ira

Big Idea
Big Idea
Big Idea

Shorter but more frequent beginners courses.

Desired Business Outcome
Desired Business Outcome
Desired Business Outcome

Increased yearly onboarding numbers without us going nuts.

Assumption
Assumption
Assumption

Shorter, more frequent beginner courses are more resource-efficient compared to the previous setup.

Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis

If we reduce the duration but increase the frequency of the courses then the results will stay the same but the strain put on us as coaches will reduce.

Test setup
Test setup
Test setup

Two-week program run 4 times a year.

Target metrics
Target metrics
Target metrics
  • x2 people onboarded compared to last year,

  • Retention rate maintained at 55%,

  • Better work-life balance for the coaches.

Pre-test decisions
Pre-test decisions
Pre-test decisions

If it passes, we keep the new program and course frequency;

If it’s inconclusive, we adjust the course and run v2.1 to get more data;

If it fails, we roll back to the previous program and explore alternative ways to boost numbers whilst optimising resources.

Timeframe:

Jan-Sept 2022

Execution:

Making this work required scaling our systems – processing payments manually was not an option anymore. Some of the steps I took:

1

Updated the copy of the course page to match new schedule and curriculum

2

Replaced the signup form with an automated booking flow using Calendly and PayPal

3

Created a bunch of email workflows (booking confirmation, cancellations, course reminders)

Actual outcomes: Inconclusive

161%

increase in signups compared to last year

👍

16%

retention

-39% compared to last year’s average

retention

-39% compared to last year’s average

retention

-44% compared to last year’s average

👎

Happier coaches

8 weeks of work split into 2-week chunks spread throughout the year felt much more manageable

👍

Next steps:

To hit our signup targets, we run short Facebook ad campaigns for about 2 weeks before each cohort started. Whilst it did help us to fill the courses, it diluted the quality of leads compared to the previous year's organic traffic.

To improve lead quality and identify candidates who are more likely to commit to the sport, we decided to introduce a lead qualification form and planned an additional men-only cohort in November to gather more data.

Experiment #3: Armoured Combat taster sessions

The Problem:

After leadership changes in late 2022, all beginners courses were suspended and the newcomers were invited to join regular sessions instead. This led to a significant decline in recruitment. How can we reintroduce structured onboarding without overwhelming the new leadership team?

Experiment card #3

Designed by:

Ira

Big Idea
Big Idea
Big Idea

Beginners’ Nights – a new monthly taster session.

Desired Business Outcome
Desired Business Outcome
Desired Business Outcome

The new approach is feasible for the new leadership and the recruitment and retention numbers climb back up.

Assumption
Assumption
Assumption
  • Making people pay upfront reduces the no-show rate;

  • Dedicated one-off introduction session

Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis

If we offer frequent paid-upfront taster sessions then more people who expressed interest in the sport will show up and try it out.

Test setup
Test setup
Test setup

Dedicated taster sessions run once a month until the end of the year.

Target metrics
Target metrics
Target metrics
  • Reduction in no-show rates,

  • Retention rate back to 16% minimum (2022 results).

Pre-test decisions
Pre-test decisions
Pre-test decisions

If it passes, we keep the new approach and frequency;

If it’s inconclusive, we extend the experiment into Q1 ‘24 to gather more data;

If it fails, we study the post-taster feedback for improvement suggestions or explore alternative ways to solve The Problem.

Timeframe:

Q3-Q4 2023

Actual outcomes: Fail

32%

reduction in no-shows compared to Q1-Q2

👍

12%

retention (-4% compared to 2022)

retention

-44% compared to last year’s average

👎

Next steps:

The last 2 experiments demonstrated that shortening the onboarding experience harms the long-term retention. I recommended the club’s new leadership to explore the possibility of training additional coaches to create a rotation and re-introduce longer 4-week programs.

Learnings & takeaways

Takeaway #1
Takeaway #1
Takeaway #1

Quality beats quantity every time. Our most successful cohort came from organic traffic and word-of-mouth, not paid advertising. When we prioritised filling seats over finding the right fit, our retention plummeted. Lesson learnt: expensive acquisition means nothing if you're acquiring the wrong users.

takeaway #2
takeaway #2
takeaway #2

Onboarding depth drives long-term value. The data consistently showed that longer, more comprehensive programs produced 5x better retention than quick introductions. Cutting corners on user onboarding almost always backfires – early investment in user success pays compound returns.

takeaway #3
takeaway #3
takeaway #3

Small barriers filter for genuine intent. When we introduced upfront payment for taster sessions, no-shows dropped by 32%. Not all friction is bad for conversion – sometimes it acts as a commitment device: people who invest something upfront are more likely to follow through.

Running a small business can be extremely insightful; this long three-year experiment has taught me some good growth lessons I'll definitely take with me into my next chapter.